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Despite the traditional mantra that item-level tagging makes sense when the price drops below 5-cents and preferably 1-cent, a major global consulting firm found the average price was 40 cents, compared with an average 18-cent price for pallet and case tags. The fact that the initial item-level tag prices is so much higher is not so surprising given that initial costs during experimentation phases are typically much higher than during full-scale deployment. What is surprising is that the average cost is so much more than its pallet/case counterparts. The IDTechEx analysis said that much of that can be explained because of the need for much more robust and larger memory tags for tracking parts and equipment that some of those early testers—such as aviation leaders Rolls Royce and Lockheed Martin--required. The analyst firm had already reported much-higher-than-expected marketshare figures for item-level RFID tagging, but they reported more details on Tuesday, including the firm's projection that item-level tags will account for $11 billion by 2016, out of a worldwide RFID market projected then to be worth $26 billion. IDTechEx also identified where it see RFID sales going this year, broken down by segment. | Application | Number million | Why | | Drugs item level | 20 | Pfizer, GSK anticounterfeit .... | | Library, laundry, apparel | 65 | 1-2 year payback: cost, service | | Pallets/ cases | 500 | Big problems but will save cost/ improve service | | Cards | 285 | China national ID: financial, security, transport | | Tickets/ secure documents | 65 | Portugal, Japan: security, speed | | Air baggage | 85 | Las Vegas, Hong Kong: cost, service, security | | Livestock | 50 | New laws: safety, cost | | Car clickers | 46 | Consumer demand | | Passports | 25 | New laws: security | | Other | 159 | Manufacture, health, vehicle etc | | Total | 1300 | |
Source: IDTechEx The item-level pricing issue is not so surprising, given the dramatically-greater potential efficiencies and supply-chain benefits that item-level can deliver, when compared with more traditional RFID applications.
The only thing that was driving the 5-cent and 1-cent needs was the ability to item-level tag everything in a store, which means that the price has to be capped out at whatever would work for the lowest priced item with that retailer. But there's no reason that retailers cannot realize huge benefits while limiting the item-level tracking to more expensive products where price sensitivity is much less of an issue.
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